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2021, March

"Next significant release will be in April. Going with pure vision — not even using radar. This is the way to real-world AI." ~[Elon Musk]

source

2021, October (+)

2021, July (?)

2021, May (?)

2021, January

Question: "...why are you confident Tesla will achieve Level 5 autonomy in 2021?" ~[Martin Viecha -- Senior Director of Investor Relations]

Answer: "...I'm confident based on my understanding of the technical roadmap and the progress that we're making between each beta iteration..." ~[Elon Musk]

source

Editor's Note: Please read the investor call transcript for more context.

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2020, December

I'm extremely confident that Tesla will have level five next year, extremely confident, 100%. ~[Elon Musk]

source

Editor's Note: SAE autonomy levels chart.

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2019, April

“I feel very confident predicting that there will be autonomous robotaxis from Tesla next year — not in all jurisdictions because we won’t have regulatory approval everywhere” ~[Elon Musk]

source
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2019, February

“I think we will be ‘feature-complete’ on full self-driving this year, meaning the car will be able to find you in a parking lot, pick you up, take you all the way to your destination without an intervention this year,” ~[Elon Musk]

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2018, March

“self-driving will encompass all modes of driving by the end of the next year.” ~[Elon Musk]

source
(---)

2017, May

Question: "Update on the coast to coast autopilot demo?" ~[Tony]

Answer: "Still on for end of year. Just software limited. Any Tesla car with HW2 (all cars built since Oct last year) will be able to do this." ~[Elon Musk]

source
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2017, March

Question: "when someone will be able to buy one of your cars and literally just take the hands off the wheel and go to sleep and wake up and find that they've arrived, how far away is that, to do that safely?" ~[Chris Anderson]

Answer: "I think that's about two years." ~[Elon Musk]

source

Editor's Note: Please watch the interview video (at 16:57) for context and nuances.

2019, August (?)

2016, November

"Hands-free Autopilot Full Self Driving (Neighborhood Long)." ~[Tesla]

source

Editor's Note: AKA The Paint it Black video. Music has been removed post release, no explanation provided.

(---)

2016, January

"In ~2 years, summon should work anywhere connected by land & not blocked by borders, eg you're in LA and the car is in NY" ~[Elon Musk]

source

Editor's Note: "summon" is a feature to make a Tesla car self-drive to your location.

(---)

2015, December

"We're going to end up with complete autonomy, and I think we will have complete autonomy in approximately two years." ~[Elon Musk]

source
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(+) Realized, (?) Questionable, (---) Not yet realized

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